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Water Cooler Small Speak: The Birthday Paradox 🎂🎉 | by Maria Mouschoutzi, PhD | Sep, 2024


Knowledge Science | Statistics

A have a look at the counterintuitive arithmetic of shared birthdays

Picture created by writer utilizing GPT-4

Water cooler small speak is a particular form of small speak, sometimes noticed in workplace areas round a water cooler. There, workers steadily share every kind of company gossip, myths, and legends, inaccurate scientific opinions, indiscreet private anecdotes, or outright lies. Something goes. So, in my Water Cooler Small Speak posts, I talk about unusual and normally scientifically invalid opinions I’ve overheard within the workplace which have actually left me speechless.

Right here’s the water cooler opinion of right this moment’s submit:

I work in an workplace flooring with 60+ folks, and final week two of them had their birthdays on the identical day. Realizing they shared their birthday, that they had a dialog someplace alongside the next traces:

– I can’t imagine we now have our birthdays on the identical day!

– Sure, what are the possibilities?

..and everybody commented on how unusual it was. A loopy, karmic coincidence…

🌌🥳

However for actual, what are the possibilities? With a fast estimation, one might imagine that the probabilities of such an occasion ought to be very low…

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